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Beyond the Box Score

Seattle Mariners Top 12 Prospect Rankings

  • Tier 1 (4 points): Major League Star -- Number One Starter
  • Tier 2 (3 points): Stand Out/Above Average Regular -- Number Two/Exceptional Three Starter
  • Tier 3 (2 points): Solid, Average, Every Day Regular -- Number Three/Solid Four Starter
  • Tier 4 (1 point): Bench/Below Average Regular -- Borderline Four/Number Five Starter/Relief Pitcher
Seattle Mariners - 32 points

Star-divide


Tier 1:

Jesus Montero: C/1B
Taijuan Walker: RHP
Danny Hultzen: LHP

Tier 2:

James Paxton: LHP
Nick Franklin: SS/INF
Guillermo Pimentel: OF/IF

Tier 3:

Erasmo Ramirez: RHP
Francisco Martinez: 3B
Chance Ruffin: RHP
Phillips Castillo: OF
Vinnie Catricala: 3B

Tier 4:

Chih-Hsien Chiang: OF

previously ranked systems

Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
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Chicago White Sox
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Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
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0 recs  |  6 comments

Comments

Does the fact that you have Chance Ruffin in Tier 3 mean you don't see him as a relief pitcher?

If so, what chance does he have at becoming a starter?

He's definitely a reliever

But quite possible a very good one. Tier three denotes a major league average player, which is what I see him being down the line.

Paxton

The “saber-slanted” community prefers the college kid over the power lefty who dominated AA, albeit in a SSS. Interesting.

All about upsides

If you’re referring to Hultzen, yeah, I like his future better than Paxton’s.

Paxton

6-4, 200 lbs, lefty, sits mid 90s, touches upper 90s, power curve ball, almost 13 K/9 and 3:1 K:BB in his first pro season.

Do we really think we’re smart enough to limit the upside of a guy like this?

My thoughts exactly

Hultzen was the number 2 pick in the draft, so you would think he’s got to have star potential. Then again, most people think that his upside isn’t quite as high as you would normally project for someone taken that high, and his placement there was based mostly on his likelyhood to achieve his floor and provide more certain value, within a more immediate time-frame. In other words, he’s seen as almost Major league ready, and will almost certainly be a fixture in a Major League rotation, even if he doesn’t rise to an All-Star or elite level.

Paxton, meanwhile, has flashed signs of brilliance in less than a full season of Minor League play, albeit with some warts along the way. The way he looked in his first go-around in pro ball, it seems the sky’s the limit for him. As with almost any player, there are some question marks, but without seeing Hultzen in a controlled minor league environment yet, there are question marks for him too. He’s a little bit more unknowable right now. I’d rather take the guy who we’ve seen over the guy who we haven’t yet.

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